With the number of PCs growing internationally at an annual rate of nearly 12%, a representative with Gartner states that within eight years, by early 2014, the number will double to two billion.
In fact, Gartner expects the “worldwide installed base of PCs will reach 1.1 billion in 2008.” Such statistics relate to global PC numbers reaching 165 PCs per 1,000 population worldwide in 2008.
Gartner officials state that the company defines the “installed base” of PCs as the estimated number of PCs in use as opposed to the number shipped over a given a period.
The statistics stated by Gartner are included in its report “Forecast: PC Installed Base, Worldwide, 2004-2012.” (It is available only for purchase.)
The growth of personal computers--from the introduction of the PC (after the mid-1970s) to today, over thirty-five years later--has been focused primarily on industrial (mature) nations in North America (United States and Canada), Western Europe (United Kingdom, France, Germany, etc.), and Japan.
Currently, Gartner states that 58% of the PCs are used in the mature markets of the United States, Europe, and Japan. However, these countries consist of only about 15% of the world’s population.
Please turn to page two.
Thus, future growth of PCs is expected to occur in emerging markets where most of the population is located and where PCs are still not commonly used.
In fact, the number of PCs in these emerging countries are expected a double over the next eight years. Thus, they were introduced in the mid-1970s, took over thirty-five years to reach one billion, and are projected to double to two billion in numbers in only eight years.
Gartner research vice-president Luis Anavitarte states, “Whereas mature markets accounted for just under 60 percent of the first billion installed PCs, we expect emerging markets to account for approximately 70 percent of the next billion installed PCs."
Anavitarte adds, Emerging market governments are also increasingly committed to reducing the digital divide by promoting PC use among their citizens through a variety of means, including providing PCs directly to the less affluent.” [USA Today: “One Billion PCs In Use”]
Further information is found in the Gartner press release “Gartner Says More than 1 Billion PCs In Use Worldwide and Headed to 2 Billion Units by 2014”