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Sunday, 27 March 2016 17:15

Threat Horizon 2018: Lost in a maze of uncertainty


Information security threats are set to worsen. Understanding them is fundamental to aligning business and security strategy.

The Information Security Forum (ISF) is a global, independent, not-for-profit, member based, information security body considered a leading authority on cyber security and information risk management. It has announced the availability of Threat Horizon 2018: Lost in a maze of uncertainty (registration required), the latest in a series of the organization’s annual Threat Horizon reports. It has been developed for business leaders who need to rapidly grasp emerging information security threats and assess the potential business impacts, balancing today’s realities with predictions that push the boundaries of current thinking.

Threat Horizon 2018 highlights how the confidentiality, integrity and availability of information may be compromised over a two-year time horizon. It highlights three themes that focus on particularly difficult cyber security challenges in a way that is relevant to senior business managers, information security professionals and other key organizational stakeholders. These themes include:

  • Technology adoption dramatically expands the threat landscape. Technology increasingly becomes an integral part of even the most mundane everyday activities, resulting in an expanded and more complex threat landscape over the next two years.
  • The ability to protect is progressively compromised. Established methods of information risk management will be eroded or compromised by internal or external non-malicious actors.
  • Governments become increasingly interventionist. Governments will adopt a more intrusive approach to organizations, which is often justified as combating organized crime or deterring anti-competitive practices.

The report also sets out to highlight the top nine emerging security threats to information through 2018 which include:

  • The Internet of Things (IoT) Leaks Sensitive Information
  • Opaque Algorithms Compromise Integrity
  • Rogue Governments Use Terrorist Groups to Launch Cyber-Attacks
  • Unmet Board Expectations Exposed by a Major Data Breach
  • Researchers Silenced to Hide Security Vulnerabilities
  • Cyber Insurance Safety Net is Pulled Away
  • Disruptive Companies Provoke Governments
  • Regulations Fragment the Cloud
  • Criminal Capabilities Expand Gaps in International Policing

“Information security threats will certainly intensify over the next two years and organizations risk becoming disoriented as they grapple with complex technology, an explosion of data, increased regulation, and a debilitating skills shortage,” said Steve Durbin, Managing Director of the ISF. “Prompt action is required to interpret an increasingly complex threat horizon and avoid nasty surprises, as delay could place organizations and their goals at risk. Many of the recommendations in Threat Horizon 2018 can be implemented over the next two years, and an example approach is provided to help organizations safely navigate with confidence.”

Founded in 1989, the Information Security Forum is dedicated to investigating, clarifying and resolving key issues in cyber, information security and risk management and developing best practice methodologies, processes and solutions that meet the business needs of its Members.

ISF Members benefit from harnessing and sharing in-depth knowledge and practical experience drawn from within their organizations and developed through an extensive research and work program. The ISF provides a confidential forum and framework, which ensures that Members adopt leading-edge information security strategies and solutions. And by working together, Members avoid the major expenditure required to reach the same goals on their own.

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Ray Shaw

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Ray Shaw  has a passion for IT ever since building his first computer in 1980. He is a qualified journalist, hosted a consumer IT based radio program on ABC radio for 10 years, has developed world leading software for the events industry and is smart enough to no longer own a retail computer store!

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