Telstra has revealed the addition of almost one million new mobile services in the six months to December 2011, but Sensis revenues plummeted 24 percent in 12 months.
The Federal Government’s $250 million regional backhaul program would improve broadband competition in the bush, but the investment needed to be four to eight times larger to be effective, Southern Cross Equities telco anayst Daniel Blair said.
Addressing the Senate select committee on the National Broadband
Network, Blair said the plan would need to be expanded to an investment
of between $1 billion and $2 billion to effectively drive high-speed
broadband in regional Australia.
Communications Minister Stephen Conroy announced the $250 million
program in May as a Budget initiative to fund backhaul ‘blackspots’ as
a priority, and has subsequently announced projects in Emerald and
Longreach in Queensland, Geralton in Western Australia, Darwin, Broken
Hill, as well as Victor Harbor in South Australia and Gippsland in
Victoria.
“We would say that, if you do want to achieve high-speed broadband in
some of those regional areas where it is not commercially viable,
building out a regional fibre backhaul network would be a logical step,
but $250 million is certainly not the number that we come to in those
conversations,” Blair told the Senate hearing.
“It is probably a number somewhere between $1 billion and $2 billion, depending on where you go,” he said.
South Cross Equities discussions with ISPs and other services providers
had found that delivering a high-speed backbone in regional Australia
would enable smaller players to “expand their footprint”. The alternate
regional backhaul model – as opposed to the incumbent supplier – would
effectively act as a subsidy to last-mile access, which could be
delivered through copper, wireless or satellite.
“It would probably be a mix of technologies, and would probably include
fibre as well where commercially feasible, to deliver to regional
Australians,” Blair said.
South Cross Equities also agreed with the Australian Institute for
Commercialisation which had earlier submitted that 100Mbps was probably
not necessary for Australian homes – but qualified it by saying the
demand would likely expand to meet supply.
In its submission the Commercialisation institute said: “No home in
Australia to my knowledge receives its town water direct to its
premises through a one metre pipe, nor has a freeway terminating at its
driveway.”
Blair responded saying “In our view there is not a demand for 100
megabits per second (but) if you offer someone something for free they
will probably take it.”
David Bass
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