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Russia wants to be sure asteroid Apophis won't hit the Earth in 2036

Science - Space

After being discovered in 2004, Apophis continues to worry astronomers that it may collide with the Earth in the near future.

During an interview on Russian radio station Golos Rossii, Anatoly Perminov (Head of the Russian Space Agency) said the agency was considering the creation of a mission to send a spacecraft to the Asteroid Apophis to cause a deflection in its orbit.

Apophis, a moderate-sized asteroid is reported to be around 800 feet in length and weighing around 1,000,000 tonnes.  This would cause huge damage if it were to impact with the Earth – tsunamis of much greater force that the recent Boxing Day event; huge earthquakes and an significant effect on the atmosphere.

Apophis expected to pass close-by the Earth in 2029 and again in 2036.  It is the 2036 passage that is causing some concern, as there is a small risk of impact.  The 2029 passage has been calculated to be as close as 30,000 km of the Earth's surface – closer even than the geosynchronous satellite orbit height of 36,000 km.

For some years, the B612 Foundation has been working on a similar mission; their goal being "To significantly alter the orbit of an asteroid, in a controlled manner, by 2015."  Quoted elsewhere, B612 Foundation Chairman the former US astronaut Rusty Schweickart says "Perminov is right that the capability to deflect an impact threatening asteroid needs to be developed and demonstrated, and that that work needs to be done cooperatively with other space agencies, and he should be loudly applauded for that."  However Schweickart also warns (at the same link) that the intended target remains a relatively low chance of impact (1:233,000) and it is probably too early to consider such a mission.

Read on for how Apophis might be convinced to avoid us.