Stan Beer
Monday, 17 November 2008 15:19
Science -
Energy
The expected economic slowdown in 2009 will impact negatively on
web-oriented architectures, social software and social networking,
while cost saving technology, such as virtualisation and green IT will
flourish. This is the prediction of a technology research firm IBRS.
According to IBRS, the focus in the coming year
will be on productivity increases, as well as cost savings and
investments that must deliver. Consequently, technologies or
applications like: web-oriented architectures, social software and
social networking will stop and may not come back until 2010.
The research note from technology researchers
Guy Cranswick, Kevin McIsaac and Joe Sweeney, predicts that economic slump will lead IT
departments to avoid 'risky' or unproven technologies. Cloud computing,
enterprise mashups, Web 2.0 and collaborative applications will be put
into the 'too risky' basket. During 2009 IT managers and their finance
colleagues will defer non-value-adding standards and concentrate on the
core business, they say.
But IBRS also predicts that virtualisation will grow strongly next year
because it delivers proven payback as it delays hardware purchases and
enables IT to align infrastructure SLA to business demands more
efficiently.
In keeping with Kevin McIsaac's log held view that the sun is setting
on Sun Microsystems, he believes the economic downturn, coupled with
the rise of Intel Virtualisation, will accelerate the transition from
proprietary UNIX/RISC server to commodity Intel server for large
workloads, thus hastening Sun Microsystems decline.
Green IT also gets the thumbs up from IBRS as it can be applied tactically to save power on desktops.