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Oceans have higher capacity to absorb carbon dioxide

Science - Climate

According to a British study, the amount of carbon dioxide able to be absorbed into Earth’s oceans is much larger than previously thought.


In the author’s paper “Is the airborne fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions increasing?,” which is published online in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, the capacity of the oceans on Earth to absorb carbon dioxide is much larger that previously thought by scientists.

[Source: Knorr W. (2009), Is the airborne fraction of anthropogenic CO 2 emissions increasing?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L21710, doi:10.1029/2009GL040613.]

According to the ScienceDaily.com article Controversial New Climate Change Data: Is Earth's Capacity To Absorb CO2 Much Greater Than Expected?, “The results run contrary to a significant body of recent research which expects that the capacity of terrestrial ecosystems and the oceans to absorb CO2 should start to diminish as CO2 emissions increase, letting greenhouse gas levels skyrocket.”

Dr. Wolfgang Knorr, from the Department of Earth Sciences at the University of Bristol, measured the trend in the fraction of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere since 1850.

Dr. Knorr found that the increase in this fraction “… has only been 0.7 ± 1.4% per decade, which is essentially zero.” [Abstract]

The study uses measurements and statistical data, and does not use climate model computations as do many other previous studies.

Dr. Knorr was asked by ScienceDaily.com if this is good news for the global climate in general and to actions being taken by countries around the world.

He answered, “Not necessarily."

Adding, "Like all studies of this kind, there are uncertainties in the data, so rather than relying on Nature to provide a free service, soaking up our waste carbon, we need to ascertain why the proportion being absorbed has not changed."

Dr. Knorr states in his abstract, “The analysis further shows that the statistical model of a constant airborne fraction agrees best with the available data if emissions from land use change are scaled down to 82% or less of their original estimates.

The British researcher concludes, “Despite the predictions of coupled climate-carbon cycle models, no trend in the airborne fraction can be found."

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