William Atkins
Wednesday, 03 June 2009 18:26
Science -
Climate
Page 2 of 2
So, despite recent rains in many part of Australia lately, if this prediction comes true, Australia could be looking at further droughts in 2010, which could negate recent recoveries of its drought conditions.
Recent El Niño events in 2002 and 2006 caused much less than normal precipitation in Australia, with resulting severe and widespread drought conditions.
The NCC meteorologists also state that current trends may not continue, which could cause the El Nino event not to occur later in 2009.
Dr. Jones states,
"However, it's still possible that the recent trends may stall without El Niño thresholds being reached."
He adds,
"Such an outcome, however, may still bias the outlook towards drier than average conditions, especially if the SOI remains negative." [The Land: “
El Niño back to spoil recovery”]