William Atkins
Saturday, 02 May 2009 19:27
Science -
Climate
Page 2 of 2
The Israeli researchers suggest,
“… that increases in lightning activity in hurricanes are related to enhanced convection that increases the rate of moistening of the lower troposphere, which in turn leads to the intensification of hurricanes.” [Abstract]
That is, the researchers think that the lightning could be caused by a change in wind patterns as the hurricanes are beginning to form.
They suggest that since real-time data on hurricanes and lightning activity is available on a global basis, such lightning data could help in making better predictions of hurricanes in the future.
This research helps to accumulate data on the relationship between large hurricanes and lightning activity. As such, it could help in predicting hurricanes when lightning precedes them.
Although more research is needed to verify the link between lightning and hurricane this research has the potential to greatly help hurricane forecasting.
The researchrs state in their paper,
"... if lightning can predict the intensification of hurricanes in advance, this provides a powerful tool for forecasters, especially in regions susceptible to considerable damage, and which lack proper early-warning capabilities."
To find out more about hurricanes, check out the website of the
National Hurricane Center.