Stan Beer
Friday, 11 May 2007 06:35
Science -
Climate
Greenhouse gas induced global warming looks set to turn the eastern region of the US into a sweltering hotbox within decades, with cities such as Chicago and Washington DC baking under 110 degree Fahrenheit (43.3C) summers, according to a new study.
The
study conducted by NASA scientists predict
that global warming may raise average summer temperatures across the
eastern region of the US by 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next 70
years.
Average summer temperatures currently fall in the low to mid 80 degrees
range. By 2080, typical summers in eastern US will average 90 degrees
plus, according to the report. And the heating effect will be more
pronounced in summers where rainfall is lower than usual. If the
predictions are correct, an average day in Chicago, Washington or
Atlanta during July and August would see temperatures max out between
100 and 110 degrees.
The prediction is based on 30 years of observed temperature and
rainfall data and computer simulations based on a widely used weather
prediction model which took into account soil, atmospheric, and oceanic
conditions and projected changes in greenhouse gases.
According to the report, the predicted higher temperatures are linked
to both lower rainfall and ocean surface temperatures in a feedback
loop.
"Relatively cool waters in the eastern Pacific often result in stubborn
summer high-pressure systems over the eastern states that block storms,
reducing the frequency of precipitation below normal,” according to
study co-author Richard Healy of the Woods Hole Oceanographic
Institution.
"Less frequent storms result in higher surface and atmospheric
temperatures that then feedback on the atmospheric circulation to
further reduce storm frequency and raise surface temperatures even
more."