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Nintendo fans say Wii will rule despite the facts

Opinion and Analysis

Well so far, the big selling point being touted by the Wii is its ease of use and its motion sensitive one handed remote controller. Oh yes, and you can connect to the internet to get the latest weather reports and download some old generation games at discounted prices. Despite the fact that Wii takes standard DVD discs, as well as the smaller Game Cube size, it is not a DVD player.

So will the one-handed Wii controller wand win Sony and Microsoft consoles away? A straw poll of my son and his game playing teenaged friends revealed that they don't give a damn about ease of use. For them, two-handed thumb console artistry is second nature. They also don't give a damn about old generation games - they want the new stuff and the fancier and higher resolution graphics the better.

Nintendo has also tried to portray the Wii as a family console. Give mum and dad and the two kids a controller each and they'll all play games together. It's a nice thought but kids and serious gamers play games while most ordinary parents don't.

Put that all together and the most likely source of Wii sales will be from existing Nintendo fans, who will snap them up as quickly as they can get them in the first year, and parents buying them for their kids because they're easy to use. Sales will probably peak in the first year, then slow as the Nintendo installed base gets their upgrade. It is unlikely that Nintendo will increase its marketshare because of Wii in the long run.



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