Stan Beer
Wednesday, 23 August 2006 17:16
Opinion and Analysis
It seems that the media has gone bananas over a new portable music player, the Sansa e280 a new portable music player from Flash RAM maker SanDisk. The SanDisk player has 8GB of flash for US$249, around the same price of the 4GB iPod Nano so iPod is in trouble. Baloney.
It doesn't seem to matter how many times you say it, when the media
catches a whiff that they might have stumbled across an iPod killer,
they'll jump on the bandwagon, regardless of the facts.
Fact one. The iPod Nano can carry 1000 songs - more than most users ever listen to.
Fact two. There are tens of millions of iPod Nano users who
collectively own hundreds of millions, perhaps more than a billion
songs that can only be played on an iPod and no other portable music
player.
Fact three. Apple iTunes is the most popular music download site in the
world by a country mile and the only portable music player that plays
its music is the iPod.
Fact four. The iPod is more than just a portable music player. It is a
lifestyle accessory, an image, an icon of the era. The name iPod is
instantly recognizable and has spawned offshoot concepts, such as the
Podcast.
Fact five, iPod has achieved a more than 75% market share through a
combination of factors, including the iTunes-iPod symbiotic business
model and the image marketing of Apple.
Fact six. SanDisk Sansa is a piece of hardware with a large amount of
memory and little else. It is not going to win over existing iPod users
who are locked into iTunes music downloads and it will have to compete
with the superior marketing resources of Apple for new users.
Fact seven. Microsoft, which is far better resourced than SanDisk and
in a much better position to understand what is up against with Apple
iPod, admits that it may take five years to get a decent foothold in
the music player market with Zune. And you can bet your boots Microsoft
will have an online music store tie-in to comete with iTunes.
Fact eight. The SanDisk marketing strategy seems to be little more than
offering prospective customers a portable music player with loads more
memory than they need. Where they get their music from is their
problem. Creative preceded Apple in the portable music player business
by years. As soon as Apple unleashed the iTunes-iPod business model,
Creative became an also ran.
The portable music player business is not simply about the hardware
device that delivers the music. It's about the consumer music supply
chain. At present, Apple executes the portable music delivery model
better than anyone else.
After looking closely at what Apple has achieved, Microsoft is also
going to have a crack at supplying some real competition. If SanDisk
really wants to get into the business, perhaps the company might
consider forming an OEM association with Microsoft.