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Vista release deadline a moveable feast

Opinion and Analysis

Three weeks ago a research note from the four main Vista watchers at Gartner, predicted that Microsoft would not be able to bring Vista to market before the second quarter of 2007. This week Microsoft and the company's CEO all but confirmed their views as correct.

According to Gartner analysts Stephen Kleynhans, David Mitchell Smith, Neil MacDonald, Michael A. Silver, Microsoft's track record of product releases, indicated that Vista would not make it to market until 9 to 12 months after the release of Beta 2 of the operating system. 
Yesterday, Microsoft shocked the market with the unexpected release of Vista Beta 2. Today, according to an IDG report, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer hinted that the deadline for the release of Vista might be pushed back a few weeks.

The fact of the matter is when software development is concerned it's very rare that the developer under promises and over delivers. In Microsoft's case, I can't remember a single instance of that happening. So if Ballmer says that Vista might be a "few weeks late" perhaps we should look to Gartner's schedule and figure on a May 2007 release. If that's the case, then Office 2007 may as well be pushed back as well for its release to coincide with that of Vista as originally planned.

Then again, if Longhorn is supposedly going to be available in the second half of 2007, and Longhorn Beta 2 was released at the same time as Vista Beta 2 and Office Beta 2, wouldn't it make sense for all three new Microsoft products to be released together? Does this mean that we not see Vista or Office 2007 until the second half of 2007? Who knows.

One thing is for sure. When Vista and Office 2007 do hit store shelves, both the market and Microsoft want to see spectacular features with spectacular performance, not to mentioned improved security. Unless Microsoft can deliver on these things, it may as well delay the release another year. So far, the market has proven to be very patient with Microsoft’s new product releases. Why should this time be any different?

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