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Telstra warns of $850m revenue hit from regulation

IT Policy - Regulation

Telstra has launched its biggest attack yet on the government's attempts to tighten the regulatory reins, telling the Australian Stock Exchange that current and expected regulatory imposts will knock an estimated $850 million off its revenues in the current financial year. In the statement Telstra said "In addition to the costs of regulation that have been widely addressed, revenues lost to regulatory decisions are large and growing each year. In 2005/06, regulatory price reduction decisions that have already been made or are pending are likely to cost Telstra more than $850 million in lost revenues and have been factored into the company's earnings outlook."<br><br>Also this figure does not include the impact of two 'biggies': operational separation and the de-averaging of ULL prices. Telstra said: There are two pending decisions that are material for Telstra: (1) operational separation as briefed last week by DCITA and (2) pricing for the unbundled local loop, which includes proposed ULL prices that are deaveraged and below Telstra's costs. Telstra will inform the market when it is in a position to quantify the financial and operational impact of these decisions."<br><br>The statement explained that the board had decided to "clarify the earnings outlook for the company" in the light of " trading results for the first two months of the current financial year and considered preliminary data emerging from the CEO's strategic review of management and operations and a briefing by DCITA last week on " their proposal to expand the regulation of Telstra".<br><br>The statement said: "The company's earnings before interest and tax in 2005/06 are expected to decline by 7-10 percent compared to 2004/05 as a result of accelerating declines in PSTN revenues and softening growth in the mobiles market due to aggressive pricing and "bucket plans". The accelerating decline in PSTN revenues reflects the influence of two forces: (1) downward pressures that are industry-wide, which management will address in its strategic review, and (2) regulatory decisions that result in direct material reductions in revenues."<br><br>The statement was also worded so as to create particular unease in the National Party and to anyone worried about the future of communications services in regional and rural Australia. It said: "Telstra's CEO, and the board agrees, has said that "Telstra's ability to halt and reverse the decline in earnings in future years depends not only on effective management but also on regulations and administrative practices that do not continually impair shareholder value with initiatives like operational separation and below-cost de-averaging that takes away revenues used to support services to high-cost areas in regional and remote Australia."<br><br>Shortly following the announcement, Telstra's CEO Sol Trujillo and CFO John Stanhope held an hour long teleconference Q&A session for press and analysts.