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An international survey of 520 CIOs, including 30 in Australia, indicates that a retiring mainframe workforce is potentially exposing enterprises to skills shortages, rising costs and increased business risk.


The CIOs, interviewed by research firm Vanson Bourne for Compuware, say they are concerned that the looming mainframe skills shortage will hurt their business. The 71 percent of CIOs expressing  that concern also said they were worried a skills shortage would result in increased application risk (58 percent globally, 60 percent in Australia), reduced productivity (58 percent globally, 60 percent in Australia) and more project overruns (53 percent globally, 40 percent in Australia).

According to Compuware's ANZ & Japan services director, Brett Lightfoot, the study revealed that 'one minute of a mainframe application outage can cost nearly $14,000 in lost revenue for the average enterprise.'

'The research also confirms that these already high costs - and the associated business risks - are poised to increase because of looming skills shortages.

'Experienced developers are business-critical assets, which is why nearly half (44 percent) of mainframe operational expenses goes toward their salaries. The loss of expertise as they retire will lead to increased costs as inexperienced developers spend more time getting to grips with their mainframe applications. Unfortunately, this steep learning curve also means that there are more chances for error and ultimately loss of revenue through application outages,' Lightfoot said.

Some 79 percent of CIOs globally and 83 percent in Australia confirm that mainframe application outages pose a significant business risk, yet 78 percent (83 percent in Australia) say these applications will remain a key business asset over the next decade. However, while the study identified rising costs resulting from developer shortages, 70 percent of CIOs (80 percent in Australia) agree that cost cutting will expose more risks than rewards.

Lightfoot says that businesses must act quickly to address the problem of 'mainframe brain drain' or suffer a cycle of spiralling costs and mainframe outages. 'The overall challenge for CIOs here is resource management. Savvy CIOs will streamline mainframe investments by improving the productivity of the remaining experienced developers and new entrants, as well as increasing IT efficiency,' Lightfoot adds.

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Peter Dinham

 

Peter Dinham is a co-founder of iTWire and a 35-year veteran journalist and corporate communications consultant. He has worked as a journalist in all forms of media – newspapers/magazines, radio, television, press agency and now, online – including with the Canberra Times, The Examiner (Tasmania), the ABC and AAP-Reuters. As a freelance journalist he also had articles published in Australian and overseas magazines. He worked in the corporate communications/public relations sector, in-house with an airline, and as a senior executive in Australia of the world’s largest communications consultancy, Burson-Marsteller. He also ran his own communications consultancy and was a co-founder in Australia of the global photographic agency, the Image Bank (now Getty Images).

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