Telstra has revealed the addition of almost one million new mobile services in the six months to December 2011, but Sensis revenues plummeted 24 percent in 12 months.
The NBN should have been well under way by now and the
last thing the Government needs, if it decides to go with someone other
than Telstra, is an underfunded non-performer that has underestimated
its bid, making the Government look bad and messing up its chances for
re-election in 2010.
On the other hand, if the Government awards the
bid to Telstra on the strength of its current RFP submission, the
tender process becomes a farce and the legal challenges would come
flying from the other parties, all of whom would claim that Rudd’s NBN
was a dud from the word go.
What's more, Telstra has yet to submit a detailed proposal, so if the
Government does decide to keep Telstra in the game, then more time will
be wasted on negotiations over Telstra's demands and the amount of
coverage it is prepared to guarantee.
Senator Conroy told a Macquarie Southern Cross radio program today that
the panel judging the bids will take another two months before it
announces the winner. He also said that the Government would not be
prepared to put in a single cent more than the promised $4.7 billion
and that the Government was sticking by its "election commitment" that
the NBN will provide 98% coverage.
According to Senator Conroy, Telstra is simply trying to draw more
money out of the Government to achieve its 98% coverage demand.
However, Telstra states clearly in its non-compliant mini-proposal that
it will need a much larger contribution from the Government if it is to
achieve 98% coverage as the "costs increase exponentially" to reach
that extra 8% of the population – up to $5 billion more, according to
Telstra’s chief lobbyist (and Dr. Phil Burgess replacement), David
Quilty.
However, this is not only about the money. Telstra in reality have not
even submitted a proposal. Apart from a brief mention about partnering
with Alcatel-Lucent, there is no detail about the implementation or
rollout whatsoever. Ericsson must be disappointed.
Therefore, the expert panel will presumably be expected to judge
Telstra's "bid" on the basis of a document that is really just a
political letter to the Government saying what the carrier will and
won't do. How could it possibly make a decision on that basis?
Senator Conroy also said today that the NBN will take five years to
roll out. However, the way things are going, he may not be around to
see work on it started.
David Bass
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