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Science Predicting thunderstorms just got better
Science Predicting thunderstorms just got better | Predicting thunderstorms just got better |
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| by William Atkins | |
| Sunday, 06 September 2009 | |
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Science DiscussionsThe technique called THESPA stands for Thunderstorm Environment Strike Probability Algorithm. Australian mathematician and computer scientist Sandy Dance, at the Weather Forecasting Group within the Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR), developed it. The summary of the research performed on THESPA is written in the Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology. Sandy Dance, Elizabeth Ebert, and David Scurrah, all from the CAWCR, authored the article entitled “Thunderstorm strike probability nowcasting”. (DOI: 10.1175/2009JTECHA1279.1). According to their abstract, “To assist in thunderstorm warning, automated nowcasting systems have been developed that detect thunderstorm cells in radar images and propagate them forward in time to generate forecasted threat areas.” The authors state that current methods are unable to measure the accuracy of their forecasts and are only able to predict a “threat area” in which a storm is likely to occur. Page two concludes. |
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