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Kaspersky labs forecasts 2012's cyber threats

Business IT - Security

Yet another security company dusts off the crystal ball.  Here's what Kaspersky Labs sees in the year ahead.

This time of the year, most consulting organisations offer up a few predictions for the future, most are 'motherhood' suggestions ("cyber crime will increase" for instance) whereas others are somewhat more specific, more testable in a years time.  In six separate categories, Kaspersky's tend toward the latter.

In summary, Kaspersky's suggestions are as follows:

  • Cyber weapons like Stuxnet will be tailor-made for specific cases only. Cybercriminals will increasingly use simpler tools, such as kill switches, logic bombs etc. to destroy data at a required time.
  • The number of targeted attacks will continue to grow. Cybercriminals will begin using new infection methods, as the effectiveness of existing methods diminishes. The range of targeted businesses and areas of economic activity will expand.
  • 2012 will see cybercriminals writing mobile malware that primarily targets Google Android. We expect to see an increasing number of attacks exploiting vulnerabilities as well as the first mobile drive-by attacks.
  • There will be more and more cases where malware is uploaded to official app stores, primarily to Android Market. Mobile espionage will become widespread; this will include stealing data from mobile phones, and tracking people using their telephones and geolocation services.
  • In 2012, attacks on online banking systems will be one of the most widespread methods used to steal money from users. South-East Asia, China and East Africa are particularly at risk.
  • Multiple attacks on various government institutions and businesses will be carried out all over the world. Hacktivism may also be used to conceal other types of attacks.