Cisco says net video will soon exceed peer-to-peer

Stuart Corner
Friday, 04 June 2010 17:22

Business IT - Networking

Cisco has issued the annual update to its Visual Networking Index Forecast, projecting global IP traffic to increase more than fourfold by 2014. It expects video to surpass peer-to-peer as the top Internet traffic contributor by the end of 2010, and the global online video community to exceed one billion users by 2014.

Cisco is forecasting video to exceed 91 percent of global consumer IP traffic by 2014, driven by improvements in network bandwidth capacity and Internet speeds, along with the increasing popularity of HDTV and 3DTV. By 2014, 3D is expected to account for four percent of total Internet video traffic and 3D and HD video to comprise 42 percent of total consumer Internet video traffic.

P2P will grow at a CAGR of 16 percent, while web-based and other file sharing will grow at CAGR of 47 percent from 2009-2014. By 2014, global P2P traffic will be 17 percent of global consumer Internet traffic, down from 36 percent in 2009, Cisco says.

Global business IP traffic is forecast to reach 7.7 exabytes per month in 2014, more than tripling from 2009-2014. Business video conferencing is projected grow ten-fold over the forecast period, growing almost three times as fast as overall business IP traffic, at a CAGR of 57 percent from 2009-2014.

Web-based video conferencing is the fastest growing sub-category, growing 180-fold from 2009-2014 (183 percent CAGR from 2009-2014).

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